The Best Tactics For Short Term Forex Trading

by

Vincent A Rogers

In terms of being the best tactician in short-term forex trading, we recommend momentum trading and for good reasons, too. Its main aim is to achieve the profit target as soon as possible with as little risk possible under the volatile circumstances that surround each forex transaction. Basically, you take advantage of the momentum when it is on your side by entering the forex market either on a long or short basis.

You will require three kinds of moving averages to accomplish your purpose, namely, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), and the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA). You will see why later. For the MACD, be sure to use the default setting on the 5-minute chart. Said default setting is: Signal ENA=9, First EMA=12, and Second EMA=26. To start on this short-term forex trading strategy, open the 5-minute chart and look for the right currency pair. This means the pair trading below the SMA and EMA. Take a look at the MACD histogram. You will enter into a long trade when the MACD starts turning positive but stay within 5 candles. Your stop loss margin must be positioned at the candle’s low point, which should be above the EMA and SMA. You will exit half of your position the moment the trade changes in your favour but be sure that it is still within the amount risked. The other half of your position will follow a trailing stop within a -15 pips on the 20-day EMA. This forex trading tactic should pay off handsomely under the right circumstances. Now, let’s assume that that your chosen currency pair is trading in the opposite direction – above the EMA and SMA that is. In this case, you must be patient and wait until such time that the currency pair is trading below both the EMA and SMA by 15 pips, minimum. In reverse of the first situation, you will enter into a short trade with the MACD turning negative within 5 candles. (The first situation was go long on positive turn). Your stop loss is at the high point of the first candle breaking through the EMA and SMA. (In the first, it was at a low point). You will also exit half of your position with the other half set for a trailing stop at +15 pips on the EMA. Again, this forex trading strategy should be in your favour when you can closely monitor the charts. There are other strategies for short-term forex transactions, of course. Two examples are the use of 2 charts, namely, the hourly and the 10-minute charts as well as the 200-bar MA. You can also explore these options but we recommend trying the momentum trading strategy first.

Vincent Rogers is a freelance writer who recommends Go Markets,

Online Forex Trading

Brokers based in Melbourne, Australia who offer trading accounts for beginners and the more advance traders using the MetaTrader 4 and 5 Platforms

Article Source:

The Best Tactics For Short Term Forex Trading

By Tristan Hunt

With all of the options available to homeowners today, adjustable rate financing is a common topic of discussion at our offices. The 3 most popular Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) types today are Hybrid ARMs, Option ARMs, and Hybrid Option ARMs. Sound pretty similar don’t they? There are similarities, that’s for sure, but there are differences as well.

Hybrid ARMs

Hybrid ARMs are a cross between a traditional fixed rate mortgage and a classic ARM. They generally come in varieties indicating how long they are fixed for, and how often they adjust thereafter. For example, a 3/1 ARM will have a fixed rate for the first 3 years, and can then adjust once every year thereafter. A 2/1 would be fixed for years and adjust every year thereafter, a 5/1 fixed for five years, 7/1 for seven and a 10/1 for ten.

All adjustable rate mortgages are calculated using an index, such as the MTA, the COFI, the COSI or the LIBOR. MTA and LIBOR are most popular. These rates indicate a basic borrowing cost of capital for the lender, this is how much it costs them to lend money in a perfect world. They also have a margin, which is like a risk premium, their profit for making the loan.

Hybrid ARMs have basic characteristics including:

1. Start Rate which remains fixed for X amount of time, so a 3/1 lasts 3 years and adjusts every year thereafter

2. Adjustment Cap Structure which dictates how much the rate can change when the loan begins adjusting. A 5/1/5 adj. cap structure means that the 1st time the rate adjusts it can go up or down 5 points max, any subsequent adjustments are limited to 1 point up or down, and the rate can never go up or down more than five points.

3. Floor: a rate which the note rate or fully indexed rate can never be lower than. (usually the initial fully indexed rate)

4. Ceiling: a rate which the note rate or fully indexed rate can never go higher than (usually 9.95 to 11.95 depending on lender and index)

The minimum payment on a 100,000 dollar regular Hybrid ARM with a 7% rate would be a bit over 665 dollars, and borrowers of all credit levels qualify for Hybrid ARM type mortgages.

One Month Option ARM

Option ARMs are one of the most popular loan types in today’s market, and for good reason. Option ARMs are like regular ARMs, but they have 4 payment options instead of just the one fully amortized payment option on a regular mortgage. The minimum payment option is the main point of attraction for majority of the Option ARM customers in the USA today, because it allows them to make smaller payments when cash is tight. The minimum payment for the initial period of the loan for 100,000 dollars would be 322 dollars, versus 665 dollars for the full payment on a conventional mortgage. A great option for the self employed, the small business owner.

On 1 month option arms, they adjust every month after the initial period, so if the initial period is 6 months or 1 year, then every month therafter the rate adjusts. There are 6 month and 1 year option arms wherein the payment adjusts every 6 months or 1 year thereafter as well, however 1 mo arms are most popular. They have additional features in addition to standard Hybrid ARMs:

6. A Minimum Payment: a payment which like a credit card allows you to stay current on the mortgage without paying the full amount of interest due, referred to as deferring interest

7. A Minimum Payment Adjustment Cap: the maximum amount that the minimum payment AMOUNT can increase or decrease in a given period. Typically 7.5%. So if your minimum payment is 1000 dollars, then in the next period it can not go higher than 1075 dollars.

8. a Negative Amortization Cap: This is the maximum the loan balance is allowed to increase due to deferral of interest (making the minimum payment only) before the loan is re-cast and the minimum payment option goes away. Depending on state and LTV this is 110% to 120% of the loan amount.

Option ARM Example: On a $100,000 Option ARM with a 1% start rate, a base or index rate of 4% and a margin of 4%,

– Minimum Payment = 322

– Interest Only = 667

– Deferred Int. = 345 (IO minus Min Pay)

– 1 Year Neg. Am. = 4140

– Recast Balance = 115000 (assuming 115% neg-am cap)

– Months to Recast= 43 (assuming you only make the minimum payment)

When a regular option arm exceeds its negative amortization cap and recasts (typically in 3 and half to 4 years if you’re only making the minimum payment) the minimum payment option goes away, and you are left with the fully amortizing payment, although some products are beginning to extend the availability of the interest only option for up to 10 years. Because of the incredible flexibility of these loans, they are limited to higher credit borrowers (generally a FICO score of 660 is required, however certain programs are available for borrowers with FICOs of 600 or better).

Hybrid Option ARMs or Fixed Rate Option ARMs

Hybrid Option ARMs combine some the best features of Hybrid ARMs, such as medium term fixed rates, with the best aspects of Option ARMs, such as low minimum payments, while solving a lot of the problems with both for the average borrower. They are most popular with homeowners who want the stability of a fixed rate mortgage but the option to make very, very low minimum payments, and are considered an ideal compromise between “safety” and “flexibility” in the mortgage world.

Hybrid Option ARMs are generally based on normal Hybrid ARMs, in that their initial period is usually 3/1, 5/1, 7/1 or 10/1 meaning 3, 5, 7 or 10 years where the rate and minimum payment stays fixed, and 1 adjustment per year afterwards.

However they have Option ARM like features such as a minimum payment, minimum payment adjustment cap, and neg am cap.

Using the above example the same loan amount in a typical hybrid option arm package

– Minimum Payment = 449 (assuming 3.5%)

– Interest Only = 583

– Deferred Int. = 134 (1/3 of regular option arm)

– 1 Year Neg. Am. = 1608

– Recast Balance = 115000 (assuming 115% neg-am cap)

– Months to Recast= 112 (assuming you only make the minimum payment)

Also, when hybrid option arms recast, most of them allow for an Interest Only option instead of forcing the borrower into a fully amortized payment they might not be able to afford. Along with the long recast timeframes and the fixed rates for the initial period, this substantially reduces payment shock on recast.

Wrapping Up

So we’ve discussed Hybrid ARMS, Option ARMs, and Hybrid Option ARMs, and will provide a variety of real world examples and detailed treatment of relevant topics in other articles in this series. And as always we welcome your questions and calls.

About the Author: Tristan Hunt is a seasoned financial professional with a wealth of experience in the mortgage industry, advising clients on

Debt Consolidation & Refinancing

.

Phone: 800-515-8443 Website: RefinanceOne.net

Source:

isnare.com

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